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Season Preview
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16th August 2002
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Tomorrow sees the start of yet another Premiership season.
Predictably, the hacks have picked out Arsenal and Manchester
United as pre-season favourites to take the title, with
Liverpool and Leeds being tipped as good outside bets. Chelsea
barely get a mention in that respect, although I have recently
seen one or two of the better pundits predicting a possible
top-four finish.
The off-season has seen the usual flurry of transfer rumours
filling the newspapers and the news web-sites. Most have turned
out to have no substance whatever (surprise, surprise). If you
believe all you read, many of Chelsea's best players are either
unsettled and looking for a move out of a cash-strapped club,
or are the targets of various other clubs all determined to
take advantage of Chelsea's finiancial situation and make
offers that can't be refused. It was all bollocks, of course,
the result of bored hacks making up stories to fill what would
otherwise have been empty sports pages.
I thought I'd take the opportunity to make a few predictions
about the Premiership in general, and Chelsea in particular.
Let's start with predicting the top few places, shall we?
I think it's fair to say that the clubs that filled the top
six places last season will also fill the top six places at
the end of this season as well. I.e. Arsenal, Liverpool,
Manchester Utd, Newcastle Utd, Leeds Utd and Chelsea. The
other 14 teams just aren't good enough, and won't get a look-in.
What the order of these six will be, is anybody's guess.
Personally, I can't see Liverpool or Newcastle winning it.
Liverpool, despite having two excellent recent seasons, are
still looking weak up front. They rely too much on Michael
Owen, who seems remarkably prone to injury. Heskey is not
good enough, and the new boy Diouf is going to struggle.
Newcastle Utd are probably going to end up in 6th place,
I can't see them getting any better than last season, and
I really believe that Leeds and Chelsea will improve.
Arsenal and Manchester Utd will probably finish in 1st and
2nd place. Which order that will be will mostly be determined
by which team suffers the least number of injuries throughout
the season. At the moment, I think Arsenal will win it.
So that leaves me thinking that Leeds, Chelsea and Liverpool
will be scrapping for 3rd, 4th and 5th. My heart says Chelsea
will finish 3rd, but my head tells me that we have to be
much more consistent to do that. If JFH and Eidur click as
well as they did early on last season, and keep clicking
throughout the season, then I can see 3rd place or better
being a realistic prospect.
The three relegation places are up for grabs. Bolton and
Sunderland are in real danger of taking the drop. Both
Middlesbrough and Fulham must also be quite worried in that
respect. Fulham must be especially worried as they will be
playing all of their matches away from home.
As for the Premiership new boys, I have high
expectations of Manchester City and Birmingham City, the
former because they will have learned from their last
experience in the Premiership, the latter because they
appear to have bought some good players over the close
season. I fear West Bromwich will go straight back down. I
hope I'm proved wrong (I have a soft spot for them, living
as I do in the West Midlands).
The other clubs can all look forward to mid-table obscurity.
Southampton may have to fight yet another relegation battle,
but I expect them to pull through once again. Everton will
probably do better than last year, I reckon they have an
outside chance of a top-ten finish.
As for Chelsea, I see JFH and Eidur finishing the season
as the Premiership's top scoring partnership, notwithstanding
van Nistelrooy and Solskjaer and co. Gianfranco Zola will
have a storming farewell season, playing just behind the two
main strikers as their foil. He may even score a few as well.
John Terry and William Gallas will form the main backbone in
defence, and Carlo Cudicini will once again impress all with
his goalkeeping abilities.
Frank Lampard will continue to improve, and, provided they
can avoid injury, Zenden and Gronkjaer will start to repay
the faith shown in them by Signor Ranieri. Graeme Le Saux
will probably see less action as a result (he's getting
old, after all). Manu Petit, if he can be bothered, will
probably be chosen as the main central play-maker, but he
needs to do better than last year if he is to be a success
in that role.
Of the youngsters, I can see Carlton Cole making a fair
number of substitute appearances, and as a result, he will
improve through the season. He's a good player, just lacking
in experience at the highest level.
All in all, it should be a better season for Chelsea, as
the team will be largely the same as last season, and that
can only be good for consistency. Hopefully, Mr Ranieri will
pick one team and one system and stick to it; that will also
help.
In summary, here are my predictions:
| 1st: |
Arsenal, Manchester Utd |
| 2nd: |
Arsenal, Chelsea, Leeds Utd, Manchester Utd |
| 3rd: |
Arsenal, Chelsea, Leeds Utd, Liverpool, Manchester Utd |
| 4th: |
Chelsea, Leeds Utd, Liverpool, Newcastle Utd |
| 5th: |
Chelsea, Leeds Utd, Liverpool, Newcastle Utd |
| 6th: |
Liverpool, Newcastle Utd |
| 7th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, West Ham |
| 8th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 9th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, Everton, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 10th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, Everton, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 11th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, Everton, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 12th: |
Aston Villa, Blackburn, Everton, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 13th: |
Birmingham City, Blackburn, Charlton, Everton, Manchester City, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham |
| 14th: |
Birmingham City, Charlton, Everton, Manchester City, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Sunderland |
| 15th: |
Birmingham City, Charlton, Everton, Fulham, Manchester City, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Sunderland |
| 16th: |
Birmingham City, Charlton, Fulham, Manchester City, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Sunderland, West Bromwich |
| 17th: |
Birmingham City, Bolton, Charlton, Fulham, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Sunderland, West Bromwich |
| 18th: |
Birmingham City, Bolton, Fulham, Middlesbrough, Southampton, Sunderland, West Bromwich |
| 19th: |
Bolton, Fulham, Middlesbrough, Sunderland, West Bromwich |
| 20th: |
Bolton, Sunderland, West Bromwich |